cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/6741775
Former Canadian diplomat Michael Kovrig — who was detained by China for more than 1,000 days between 2018 and 2021 — says Prime Minister Mark Carney’s tone and messaging during his trip to China were “worrisome.”
In a bid to reset relations with China and counter trade threats from the United States, Carney became the first Canadian prime minister to travel to the Asian country in eight years this week.
During the trip, Carney took meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping and Chinese Premier Li Qiang, and stated progress in Canada-China relations is “(setting) up well for the new world order,” comments which drew widespread reaction, including from Kovrig.
“Diplomacy is necessary, grinning is optional, and looking like a supplicant is undignified,” Kovrig said in an interview airing Sunday on CTV’s Question Period. “That’s not a good look. So, the optics could have been better.”
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Kovrig added he thought the prime minister’s statement about the “new world order” was a “very worrisome way to express things.”
He said Carney “standing and grinning” while shaking Xi’s hand made him uncomfortable, and that “intoning about a new world order,” surrounded by top Chinese officials, “really carries some very Orwellian overtones.”
“It’s a deeply unsettling message, and it’s a very dangerous game,” Kovrig told host Vassy Kapelos, adding it risks endorsing Chinese narratives that are “deeply problematic.”
During the English-language leaders’ debate ahead of last April’s federal election, Carney pointed to China as the biggest security threat facing Canada.
Speaking to reporters in Beijing on Friday, however, when asked whether he still believes that to be true, Carney answered that “the security landscape continues to change.”
“In a world that’s more dangerous and divided, we face many threats,” he said. “That’s the reality. And the job, my responsibilities as prime minister, the job of the government, is to manage those threats.”
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Kovrig has warned against lifting the tariffs on Chinese EVs in the past, calling it a “mistake,” and telling Kapelos last September that it could give China too much leverage in future negotiations and domestic policymaking.
Kovrig, who’s now a senior advisor with the International Crisis Group, said the deal sets a precedent in dealing with China that will have “huge implications for Canada’s industrial policy.”
“You need to free the hostages, and so there needed to be some way of releasing some of that pain. And that matters,” Kovrig said of the pressure from Canadian Prairie provinces for relief from China’s agriculture-sector tariffs. “Those tariffs were painful and politically targeted, but the relief is time-limited and reversible. Beijing kept the leverage.”
“What did Canada give up? Canada broke ranks with the U.S. on Chinese electric vehicles,” he added. “Even with quotas, the signal’s big: market access is negotiable under pressure. That teaches the Chinese Communist Party that pressure works, and it’s likely to test that again.”
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Honestly, I’d be much more worried about allowing Chinese EVs into the Canadian market if the North American manufacturers hadn’t already abandoned the EV market altogether. As it stands, if the big three wanted to get serious about building affordable EVs today, it would take two years just to get back to where they were before Trump’s second term started.
Chinese carmakers’ share in the North American market is next to zero, and Canada’s auto plants have not ‘abandoned’ EVs. But Canadian plants pay a multiple of what Chinese carmakers pay, and if you buy a car from a Canadian plant you can be sure that it is not made by slave-like labour.
I work in the auto industry and have watched the process unfold. Ford alone fucked over dozens of companies when they abandoned the EV production at Oakville. That wasn’t just plans that changed; the equipment to supply that line was already installed. Now there’s plants all over the GTA that are half empty with half their workforce layed off.
You have been seeing such things in China for years. Many carmakers have gone bankrupt. With Chinese imports to Canada, the situation will worsen for Canadian automakers as well as suppliers. Canada risks becoming dependent on China as well as it is (or was?) on the US.
And China will use this leverage for future political and economic coercion.
I am confused to how this is a response to what buddy just said?
As an addition, there is a podcast on Prime Minister Mark Carney’s new trade deal with China:
Canada’s trade gamble: Why the latest deal with China may do more harm than good – (Podcast, 25 min)
Host Cristina Howorun sits down with Flavio Volpe, President of the Automotive Parts Manufacturing Association and one of the architects of CUSMA, to discuss the implications this deal could have on the EV market, the 90,000 jobs in the auto sector and tariff and trade negotiations with the States.
(Here is an Invidious link of the podcast if you prefer that.)