They may not be useful to you… but you can’t speak for everyone.

You are incorrect on inference costs. But yes training models is expensive and the economics are concerning.

I would bet on LLMs being around and continuing to be useful for some subset of coding in 10 years.

I would not bet my retirement funds on current AI related companies.

I would agree that the interest will wain in some domains where they aren’t aiding in productivity.

But LLMs for coding are productive right now in other domains and people aren’t going to want to give that up.

Inference is already financially viable.

Now, I think what could crush the SOTA models is if they get sued into bankruptcy for copyright violations. Which is a related but separate thread.

What do you expect to replace LLM coding?