• realitista@lemmus.org
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    8
    ·
    1 day ago

    The problem is that violent revolutions rarely produce anything other than more and worse chaos, and are usually settled by the biggest despot in the room who is often worse than the guy being deposed. The vast majority of actual social progress made in history was due to peaceful, not violent revolution.

        • OBJECTION!@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          edit-2
          2 hours ago

          Are you blaming the deaths from Imperial Japan’s invasion and genocide on China?

          Or are you referring to the failure of the Great Leap Forward? You can see the latter on the graph, it’s the one time the growth in life expectancy briefly paused before continuing its overwhelmingly upward trend

    • bearboiblake@pawb.socialOP
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      11
      ·
      edit-2
      1 day ago

      I agree, but every non-violent movement needs an underlying threat of the willingness to escalate and ultimately become violent to succeed. We need people who are willing to use violence.

      Non-violent resistance is yin, violent resistance is yang. They need to be in balance.

      • WorldsDumbestMan@lemmy.today
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        14 hours ago

        Bullshit. Once all the dark tetrad are helping grow sunflowers, there is no one left to take over (that won’t end up the same).

        You just need a willingness to commit constant, never-ending violence that would make the Nazi camp guards faint.

        Keep giving the bad guys CPTSD, the one reason a despot took over after, was that people stopped fighting, believing they had won.

        They believed that things will be good because they “earned” it.

        No, safeguarding humanity requires eternal vigilance, and the tree of liberty to be constantly watered with the blood of psychopaths.

        • bearboiblake@pawb.socialOP
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          5
          ·
          edit-2
          10 hours ago

          I disagree with this. Violence always leads to more violence, so it should always be our last option on the table. Remember that those who commit violence will also suffer from PTSD.

          We need to be willing to escalate, but also to de-escalate. We need a peaceful revolution which is willing to defend itself. An implicitly violent revolution does not remove the ruling class, it simply replaces the existing ruling class with a different ruling class (e.g. the American Revolution, the USSR). We need to completely abolish the ruling class and prevent them from ever returning.

            • bearboiblake@pawb.socialOP
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              2
              ·
              9 hours ago

              Me too! I figured you probably didn’t genuinely hold these viewpoints, but someone reading this thread might, so I appreciate the opportunity to speak directly to those people through you.

              • WorldsDumbestMan@lemmy.today
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                8 hours ago

                I’m open and understand of other’s views, but I skew towards horrific revenge that will make it very clear what happens to bad people, once the good ones have enough. This is from experience, knowing that peace brought us nothing, made us look like weak victims for the picking, ensured we have no real resistance.

                No, this is the Godzilla threshold. Woe to anyone who has escaped lawful justice!

                Though for certain reasons, I am forced to fight economically for now, which is my main plan on Lemmy. Let me show you something:

                • bearboiblake@pawb.socialOP
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  ·
                  8 hours ago

                  Thanks for sharing, I really appreciate that and I understand your position. Your values align closely with mine, but my #1 top value is that no one should have power over anyone else, because most humans are predisposed towards using any power they have to benefit themselves - so if you have someone even with 1% more power than others, they will use that 1% of power to their own benefit, and to grow their own power. Over time, that 1% will grow and grow until we have a situation like we have now, where the ruling class have overwhelming power over the majority.

                  I totally get the drive for revenge, I’m very sympathetic – I used to feel the same. What I have come to realize though, is that negative reinforcement isn’t very effective at all. We have a whole prison industrial complex which is unbelievably cruel and punishing towards those in its grip, the ultimate tool of revenge against those who have wrong society, and it is completely ineffective in reducing or preventing any crime. Cruelty against those who have wronged us just hardens hearts against our larger goal, the liberation of all living things, because it gets both “sides” stuck in an escalation trap of using escalating levels of violence against the other.

                  The only way we can fix our broken society is by convincing everyone that using coercive power/violence against others leads to bad outcomes. We need to be willing to use violence (and the threat of violence) because if we do not then our enemies will indeed make us victims, but it must always be the option of last resort.

      • zikzak025@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        23 hours ago

        Exactly. There needs to be a stick to accompany the carrot. But if the carrot is refused, then the stick does its job.

      • realitista@lemmus.org
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        ·
        edit-2
        9 hours ago

        I disagree. Hard data shows that peaceful protest works in a way that violent protest absolutely does not

        The moment violence happens, the whole movement loses its credibility and high ground and opens the road to despotic overthrow of the movement. This is why it’s so important to guard against the tactic of your enemy installing agitators to discredit your movement and open the door to violent suppression of it.

        Let’s take a look at the so called “successes” of violent revolutios:

        1. The French Revolution (1789–1799)
        • Target: The Ancien Régime, an absolute monarchy under King Louis XVI.
        • Result: The instability eventually led to the rise of Napoleon Bonaparte, who established a military dictatorship and later declared himself Emperor.
        1. The Haitian Revolution (1791–1804)
        • Target: French colonial rule and the institution of slavery.
        • Result: A military state led by Jean-Jacques Dessalines, who declared himself Emperor for life. The new regime faced extreme economic isolation and was forced to pay massive reparations to France, which crippled its development for generations.
        1. The Russian Revolution (1917)
        • Target: The Tsarist Autocracy (House of Romanov).
        • Result: Communist State: The creation of the Soviet Union (USSR). A single-party, totalitarian state that was characterized by extreme political repression and state-controlled social life.
        1. The Cuban Revolution (1953–1959)
        • Target: The military dictatorship of Fulgencio Batista.
        • Result: Socialist Republic: Cuba transitioned into a one-party totalitarian Marxist-Leninist state ruled by the Castro family for 60 years.
        1. The Iranian Revolution (1979)
        • Target: The pro-Western monarchy of Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi.
        • Result: Islamic Theocracy: The establishment of the Islamic Republic of Iran under Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khomeini.

        So my assumption of anyone pushing for violent overthrow of the government is that they want a king, a single party totalitarian government, or a military dictatorship. This being Lemmy, the most likely case is that you want to install a communist single party system.

        I personally want nothing to do with it.

        • OBJECTION!@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 hour ago

          The new regime faced extreme economic isolation and was forced to pay massive reparations to France, which crippled its development for generations.

          “Faced” “was forced to” why the passive language? Yes, France indefensibly forced Haiti to pay reparations for Haitians “stealing their property” (freeing themselves from slavery), a debt which it still, unbelievably, upholds.

          I’m not sure how it’s discrediting for a revolution to be crushed by an overwhelmingly powerful outside source. It kinda seems like you’re just trying to intimidate people into falling in line at that point.

          Of course, we should also look at what happens to peaceful reformers who achieve some degree of success at decolonization. Mohammad Mossadegh of Iran, for example, is the perfect example of the approach people like you advocate. Peaceful, democratically elected, didn’t crackdown on anyone’s rights. Guess what happened? He faced, as you put it, “economic isolation” as the British blockaded them in retaliation for exerting control over his own country’s oil. Then he was overthrown by the CIA. Shit like that is exactly why anybody with any sense who gets in a position like that does the sort of thing that makes you denounce them as “totalitarian.”

          Convenient, isn’t it? The peaceful people who oppose colonialism get quietly deposed or exterminated, while the violent ones get condemned and economically isolated. Almost as if you don’t want anything to change at all.

          Result: Communist State: The creation of the Soviet Union (USSR). A single-party, totalitarian state that was characterized by extreme political repression and state-controlled social life.

          Result: Socialist Republic: Cuba transitioned into a one-party totalitarian Marxist-Leninist state ruled by the Castro family for 60 years.

          Both of which were clearly and unambiguously better than the states that preceded them.

          • realitista@lemmus.org
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            edit-2
            13 minutes ago

            My point in the Haiti point is that you ended up with an Emperor for life, as in all the other cases where you ended up with kings or single party systems. And yes, I can accept that from the very poor starting points of many of these countries, maybe the shakeup at least loosened something that could have opened up improvements in the next century or something. They certainly didn’t produce immediate benefit.

            But the USA is not at that kind of starting point yet. They still have an (admittedly flawed and likely compromised) democracy with a strong economy and still very high living standards, even if they aren’t evenly distributed. They do still have some checks and balances and rule of law that has not yet been subverted. Moving from this to a full autocracy, single party system, theocracy, military state or monarchy would not be a step up by any stretch of the imagination. It would be a disaster that would take decades if not a century or more to recover from.

            So yes, sometimes things get so bad that you really can just toss it all out and probably not lose much, but that’s not the case in really any western democracy. In most cases today all you’d get is something worse than what you already have.

            As for peaceful revolutions, there are tons of examples, all creating far more prosperous democracies than the regimes they replaced, more or less from day one. I have an emotional place in my heart for this kind of revolution as I live in the first country listed and know the benefit we still get from that peaceful revolution today.

            1. The Velvet Revolution (Czechoslovakia, 1989)

            • Over just 41 days, a student-led movement brought down the Communist government without a single shot being fired.

            • Outcome: A peaceful transition to a democratic parliamentary republic and the election of Havel as President, and massive improvements in living standards.

            2. The People Power Revolution (Philippines, 1986)

            • Also known as the EDSA Revolution, this movement ended the 20-year dictatorship of Ferdinand Marcos.

            • Outcome: The military eventually refused to fire on the crowds, leading Marcos to flee to Hawaii and the installation of Corazon Aquino as President of a democratic nation which grew and improved living standards for decades to come.

            3. The Singing Revolution (Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, 1987–1991)

            • The Baltic states achieved independence from the Soviet Union through a massive cultural and non-violent uprising centered on national identity and song.

            • Outcome: Despite Soviet military intimidation, the three nations successfully restored their independence by 1991 and are now democratic members of the EU and NATO with vastly better living conditions than under Soviet rule.

            4. The Peaceful Revolution (East Germany, 1989)

            • This movement led to the most iconic symbol of the Cold War’s end: the fall of the Berlin Wall, doing away with the communist party rule in East Germany.

            • Outcome: The opening of the borders and the eventual reunification of Germany in 1990 as a single democratic and progressive nation which grew it’s living standards in great strides in the coming decades.

            5. South Africa’s Transition from Apartheid (1990–1994)

            • Outcome: The establishment of a democratic and united “Rainbow Nation” and one of the most progressive constitutions in the world.
        • Scubus@sh.itjust.works
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          6
          ·
          20 hours ago

          Well, I’m sure they’ll bury you on your moral high ground while they install countless systems to disenfranchise you and everyone you know. But I’m sure if you just ask them kindly not to do that, it’ll all work itself out.

        • bearboiblake@pawb.socialOP
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          10
          ·
          edit-2
          23 hours ago

          Disavow the violence all you want, and indeed doing so is very much the role of the non-violent sect of the movement, but you need the threat of violence to succeed, that’s just the reality. The Civil Rights movement never would have succeeded without the Black Panthers. The LGBTQ+ movement needed the Stonewall Riots.