The defense industry lost the ability to make weapons when crisis hit. The same pattern is eroding software engineering skills. The timelines are identical.
Not as many as before, because we just don’t have the need.
The point was that we don’t know what we’re going to need in 10 years but we can see that we’re deskilling what we have with no guarantee that AI will fill the gap.
That means if AI doesn’t neatly fill that gap in 10 years, because it measurably does not now, we’ve lost the institutional knowledge and that can take a long time to recover from.
The net result is that we’re replacing competence with a thing that is measurably incompetent and while the odd individual company may benefit, the net result is that we’re collectively moving backwards with the hype-fueled hope that something will save us in the future.
It may be just another abstraction layer, but it could just as easily be a dead end. We won’t know until the future, but we’re burning the capability today.
I’m optimistic about AI, but this is a huge risk to take as a country and the people making that decision are ones that stand to benefit today regardless of the outcome to us all in the future.
If only we has a functioning political system to grapple with this issue… Maybe the EU will manage better.
(Until then I’ll learn a bit of German and Mandarin.)
The point was that we don’t know what we’re going to need in 10 years but we can see that we’re deskilling what we have with no guarantee that AI will fill the gap.
That means if AI doesn’t neatly fill that gap in 10 years, because it measurably does not now, we’ve lost the institutional knowledge and that can take a long time to recover from.
The net result is that we’re replacing competence with a thing that is measurably incompetent and while the odd individual company may benefit, the net result is that we’re collectively moving backwards with the hype-fueled hope that something will save us in the future.
It may be just another abstraction layer, but it could just as easily be a dead end. We won’t know until the future, but we’re burning the capability today.
I’m optimistic about AI, but this is a huge risk to take as a country and the people making that decision are ones that stand to benefit today regardless of the outcome to us all in the future.
If only we has a functioning political system to grapple with this issue… Maybe the EU will manage better.
(Until then I’ll learn a bit of German and Mandarin.)