I don’t want it to happen, but I don’t see any real scientific reason why machine learning won’t eventually subsume jobs at a faster rate than new jobs for humans are created. That might take 15 or 30 years to really hit, but it’s certainly something that needs to be planned for extensively.
Machine learning is a monkey bashing keys on a typewriter. Improvements will result in a better typewriter, so the monkey will more often hit the good keys instead of the bad ones, but it won’t result in a smarter monkey. It will still be random because probability is inherent to the technology, which means that AI will never be trustworthy. Would you ever trust a calculator that sometimes says 1+1=3? Even if it only did that 1% of the time?
You aren’t wrong about GenAI replacing jobs though, because there are people willing to use faulty, untrustworthy tools. Your manager, people in the C-suite, Business Idiots who have no idea what the the job actually needs to function properly are being tricked into thinking that chat boxes will let them cut operational costs without incurring any significant consequences.
It doesn’t really matter how good or not AI is; the reason jobs are being cut is because Business Idiots with more money than sense fire people based on vibes. This has been a known problem since the 1980’s when Jack Welch destroyed GE through his idiotic “Rank and Yank” strategy. His foolish business practices made a lot of money in the short term, which is why he is lauded as the CEO of the Century, even though those same business practices destroyed one of the greatest American companies in a handful of years.
Yeah, I mean, I like laughing at AI failing in funny ways or venture capitalists hyping it to oblivion, but it seems clear that it is just getting better and we need to plan for it.
I don’t want it to happen, but I don’t see any real scientific reason why machine learning won’t eventually subsume jobs at a faster rate than new jobs for humans are created. That might take 15 or 30 years to really hit, but it’s certainly something that needs to be planned for extensively.
Machine learning is a monkey bashing keys on a typewriter. Improvements will result in a better typewriter, so the monkey will more often hit the good keys instead of the bad ones, but it won’t result in a smarter monkey. It will still be random because probability is inherent to the technology, which means that AI will never be trustworthy. Would you ever trust a calculator that sometimes says 1+1=3? Even if it only did that 1% of the time?
You aren’t wrong about GenAI replacing jobs though, because there are people willing to use faulty, untrustworthy tools. Your manager, people in the C-suite, Business Idiots who have no idea what the the job actually needs to function properly are being tricked into thinking that chat boxes will let them cut operational costs without incurring any significant consequences.
It doesn’t really matter how good or not AI is; the reason jobs are being cut is because Business Idiots with more money than sense fire people based on vibes. This has been a known problem since the 1980’s when Jack Welch destroyed GE through his idiotic “Rank and Yank” strategy. His foolish business practices made a lot of money in the short term, which is why he is lauded as the CEO of the Century, even though those same business practices destroyed one of the greatest American companies in a handful of years.
Without any regulation I don’t see it happening either :(
Yeah, I mean, I like laughing at AI failing in funny ways or venture capitalists hyping it to oblivion, but it seems clear that it is just getting better and we need to plan for it.
tbf lemmy users are first to complain and also will be first in line to have clunker girlfriends because it understands them better than real girls