I think they know the bubble’s going to burst, and they’re just trying to make sure they’re the survivor that’s still standing at the end of it, the next Google and not the next Lycos or Alta Vista. But in that effort I’m guessing at least one or two major players are going to destroy themselves when they might’ve otherwise survived, or at least turn themselves into the next Yahoo! or AOL, still existing but just as a shell of what they were, and leaving people surprised when they realize they’re still around.
I am willing to bet $10 that Apple is going to be the only one of the FANG gang that survives this mostly unscathed. Apple is at the end of the day a hardware company and when everything goes to shit, they’re going to be able extract some brutal concessions from TSMC and Samsung. Yes Apple has thrown more than a few billion in, but they still have their ocean of cash largely untapped.
The way things are going with Nvidia and AMD abandoning their partners and Intel continuing to flop around without any semblance of a plan; Apple is going to be in an amazing position strategically.
Meanwhile Micron, Samsung, TSMC, and the other big fab I keep forgetting the name of are going to have these massive holes in their spreadsheets as “guaranteed” orders evaporate. Very likely going to be more than a few suicides with those unfortunates who didn’t tap out before the music stopped.
I think they know the bubble’s going to burst, and they’re just trying to make sure they’re the survivor that’s still standing at the end of it, the next Google and not the next Lycos or Alta Vista. But in that effort I’m guessing at least one or two major players are going to destroy themselves when they might’ve otherwise survived, or at least turn themselves into the next Yahoo! or AOL, still existing but just as a shell of what they were, and leaving people surprised when they realize they’re still around.
I am willing to bet $10 that Apple is going to be the only one of the FANG gang that survives this mostly unscathed. Apple is at the end of the day a hardware company and when everything goes to shit, they’re going to be able extract some brutal concessions from TSMC and Samsung. Yes Apple has thrown more than a few billion in, but they still have their ocean of cash largely untapped.
The way things are going with Nvidia and AMD abandoning their partners and Intel continuing to flop around without any semblance of a plan; Apple is going to be in an amazing position strategically.
Meanwhile Micron, Samsung, TSMC, and the other big fab I keep forgetting the name of are going to have these massive holes in their spreadsheets as “guaranteed” orders evaporate. Very likely going to be more than a few suicides with those unfortunates who didn’t tap out before the music stopped.