• ikt@aussie.zone
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    5 hours ago

    What’s going to happen is that OpenAI and Anthropic will ultimately fold because they can’t be profitable

    OpenAI maybe because it has a consumer focus and most of their users aren’t paying, more likely they’ll restrict free use and increase pop ups to get people to sign up

    Anthropic is already profitable if you take out the enormous spend they have on training, which if the bubble bursts would leave them as the number 1 ai provider, it’s also insanely in demand and has trouble keeping up with its current product, they also have several products mythos etc lined up

    That will have devastating ripple effects throughout the economy

    I doubt it, I think it’d be closer to liberation day tariff’s or the oil crisis, it’ll go down for a bit, many articles will be written about how this is the worst thing ever then 6 months later it’ll be back up again

    As said all the major players in this game are super profitable major companies, that won’t change

    Despite Lemmy doomer posting about AI every 2.8 nanoseconds it is getting better:

    We propose measuring AI performance in terms of the length of tasks AI agents can complete. We show that this metric has been consistently exponentially increasing over the past 6 years, with a doubling time of around 7 months. Extrapolating this trend predicts that, in under a decade, we will see AI agents that can independently complete a large fraction of software tasks that currently take humans days or weeks.

    https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/

    The only thing that worries me is that:

    Economists warn that without AI-driven investment, the U.S. may already be in a recession, raising concerns about economic dependency.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/ai-infrastructure-boom-masks-potential-us-recession-analyst-warns.html

    The US economy might already be in the shitter and AI is just hiding it