we have hit diminishing returns when it comes to a lot of technologies
But that goes for each technology in it’s own time. Take the wheel: we have it since like foroever. It does not evolve anymore, it’s a solved problem. Take the combustion engine, and we have it for 120 years or so. Take batteries. We have them for 160 years, and we thought they were a solved problem, but currently they make new jumps, and still ongoing, while smartphones are nearly solved. It is utter bullshit to say “technology in general” has started in this or that year and will slow down in XY.
Therefore I say it’s his personal feelings that are having this certain cycle.
Wheels today are an absolutely MASSIVE improvement on wheels from even a few hundred years ago, never mind the original wheel. They well continue to improve too.
But that goes for each technology in it’s own time.
Which is why I specified a lot of technologies, and not all technology? We are certainly making some advances, but like I said it doesn’t seem to be at the pace we experienced in previous decades.
Take batteries. We have them for 160 years, and we thought they were a solved problem, but currently they make new jumps, and still ongoing
I don’t think anyone ever claimed batteries were a solved problem…
We are making progress with them, but again, it’s been a pretty slow development over the last decade.
while smartphones are nearly solved
I don’t think I would make that claim either.
Therefore I say it’s his personal feelings that are having this certain cycle.
Or maybe you just lack perspective due to your age? Is there any particular technology that’s come out in the last 5-10 years that you consider groundbreaking? The only thing I can think of is LLM, and to be honest I’m not very impressed with them considering the societal cost.
Over the last decade or so the growth in capacity has mostly been focused on Electric vehicles. Small electronics have definitely grown, but at a modest pace that hasn’t really kept up with new hardware’s ability to drain it.
An iPhone from 2016 had about 2k mah and a iPhone 16 has around 3.5k mah.
But that goes for each technology in it’s own time. Take the wheel: we have it since like foroever. It does not evolve anymore, it’s a solved problem. Take the combustion engine, and we have it for 120 years or so. Take batteries. We have them for 160 years, and we thought they were a solved problem, but currently they make new jumps, and still ongoing, while smartphones are nearly solved. It is utter bullshit to say “technology in general” has started in this or that year and will slow down in XY.
Therefore I say it’s his personal feelings that are having this certain cycle.
Wheels today are an absolutely MASSIVE improvement on wheels from even a few hundred years ago, never mind the original wheel. They well continue to improve too.
Which is why I specified a lot of technologies, and not all technology? We are certainly making some advances, but like I said it doesn’t seem to be at the pace we experienced in previous decades.
I don’t think anyone ever claimed batteries were a solved problem… We are making progress with them, but again, it’s been a pretty slow development over the last decade.
I don’t think I would make that claim either.
Or maybe you just lack perspective due to your age? Is there any particular technology that’s come out in the last 5-10 years that you consider groundbreaking? The only thing I can think of is LLM, and to be honest I’m not very impressed with them considering the societal cost.
Where are batteries slow development?
Over the last decade or so the growth in capacity has mostly been focused on Electric vehicles. Small electronics have definitely grown, but at a modest pace that hasn’t really kept up with new hardware’s ability to drain it.
An iPhone from 2016 had about 2k mah and a iPhone 16 has around 3.5k mah.