(VTV+VXUS+BNDW)×(Roth) the most boring winning strategy. Get modestly rich slowly through consistently disciplined and simple contributions. It’s your best bet for beating the house (because you’re in the house, or at least its mudroom).
What happens when the AI companies get into the indexes? Big tech is already heavily represented and the AI bubble popping will probably destroy sensible index fund portfolios.
Probably bad things, which is why I feel (marginally) safer in VTV, Vanguard’s large cap value fund, focused on consumer staples, insurance companies, holding companies like Berkshire, defense contractors…basically large companies with the lowest P/E and P/B ratios. I’m not saying it won’t hurt when the bubble collapses, but it intentionally excludes the FAANG and overpriced tech.
It ain’t perfect by any stretch, but it at least tries to capture profitable and (relatively) underpriced companies with proven records instead of market darlings.
VXUS for exposure to foreign markets. BNDW for the ginormous market of bonds.
The crash will hurt. It’ll be a good buying opportunity for anyone with cash. I have a few more decades to weather the storm, so I’m just staying steady. I’ve already tried my hand at picking stocks (gambling) and learned the hard way (because I ignored the books telling me what not to do) that I suck at gambling. Technically, any normal person is supposed to suck at gambling, otherwise it wouldn’t survive as a venture.
That serms like a sound plan. It’s all gonna be terrible, but that should at least be a hedge against the insanity in big tech. I suspect that defense will have a slow decline as our former allies contine to back away from our unreliable dumb asses, but it won’t have the spectacular crash out like AI related stocks.
(VTV+VXUS+BNDW)×(Roth) the most boring winning strategy. Get modestly rich slowly through consistently disciplined and simple contributions. It’s your best bet for beating the house (because you’re in the house, or at least its mudroom).
a fellow boglehead 🤝
All hail Jack
I’m having trouble looking up all those acronyms. I know about roth 401ks, but not the other stuff.
VTV VXUS BNDW
They’re index-based exchange-traded funds.
Ah! Thank you muchly!
What happens when the AI companies get into the indexes? Big tech is already heavily represented and the AI bubble popping will probably destroy sensible index fund portfolios.
Probably bad things, which is why I feel (marginally) safer in VTV, Vanguard’s large cap value fund, focused on consumer staples, insurance companies, holding companies like Berkshire, defense contractors…basically large companies with the lowest P/E and P/B ratios. I’m not saying it won’t hurt when the bubble collapses, but it intentionally excludes the FAANG and overpriced tech.
It ain’t perfect by any stretch, but it at least tries to capture profitable and (relatively) underpriced companies with proven records instead of market darlings.
VXUS for exposure to foreign markets. BNDW for the ginormous market of bonds.
The crash will hurt. It’ll be a good buying opportunity for anyone with cash. I have a few more decades to weather the storm, so I’m just staying steady. I’ve already tried my hand at picking stocks (gambling) and learned the hard way (because I ignored the books telling me what not to do) that I suck at gambling. Technically, any normal person is supposed to suck at gambling, otherwise it wouldn’t survive as a venture.
That serms like a sound plan. It’s all gonna be terrible, but that should at least be a hedge against the insanity in big tech. I suspect that defense will have a slow decline as our former allies contine to back away from our unreliable dumb asses, but it won’t have the spectacular crash out like AI related stocks.