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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • But…the vast majority of corporate decision making for the last ten years is solid evidence that they are 100% high on their own farts.

    Completely agree, but in the gap left by “vast majority”, these guys don’t seem to be behaving entirely like your conventional consumer squeezing companies, they seem to be playing a much more collusive game at the very least

    But it’s all already not worth the money invested

    That’s the flaw in the common view of this. You’re looking too short term. The second someone can offer to replace a business owners employees for half price, it’s basically infinite money.

    That is what they’re pouring all the money in for: a chance at that prize. A chance at replacing all paid work with an automation they own.




  • I’m answering the question of what the arms race is

    The goal is a technology that replaces the need for humans in any job.

    The FOMO is different now because they don’t give a shit about the consumer. The FOMO is versus the other competitors because it’s a winner takes all scenario.

    They will keep accelerating to the detriment of literally everything else.

    Whether you believe they’ll make it is almost moot. They’re going to burn the world down trying.


  • I’d like to believe too, but it doesn’t really track when you watch what these companies are actually doing.

    Of course an LLM on its own isn’t going to become an AGI. Anyone with a braincell can see that. These orgs aren’t so high on their own farts that they ignore this.

    Nearly all of the actual uses today aren’t just the LLM, but the tooling built on top of it, the LLM is the bit that you can plug into the past century of computing developments to enable much greater autonomy.

    It’s true to say an LLM in isolation isn’t going to become AGI, but it’s also looking very likely that an AGI will feature an LLM as a key component.

    That’s what’s happening in parallel to the model development, tooling and harnesses that make the overall system more capable. If it can be done by a computer (or by extension a sufficiently advanced robot), the LLM can do it too with a bit of integration work (which it is very able to do on its own today, with minimal steering). If you can test for something being correct in any way, that too can be ultimately hooked up to an LLM as another input to push it back onto the desired path when it veers off.

    Frankly I’m starting to feel like for most people it’ll feel like it’s years off until the day it happens. I don’t see remotely enough people taking the risk seriously in time to do anything.


  • Making a better LLM isn’t the point of all this, it’s taking what they have and building on it until they create a true AGI.

    Whoever gets there first, makes basically everything else obsolete in an instant.

    In a world where the organisations that are blazing the trail are in private hands, this is very bad news for everyone who isn’t in the winning organisation.

    That’s essentially the arms race: who gets to be king of the world.

    The slim chance of it not being monumentally detrimental to humanity is basically tied to us abandoning capitalism wholesale and uniting the world, so I’m not holding my breath.

    Edit: few downvotes on this, so check my other replies for clarity, if you still think I’m taking out my arse, comment and set me right. It’s Lemmy, the points don’t matter, I’d rather have a conversation. Plus read again if you somehow get the impression I’m advocating for any of this