“The future ain’t what it used to be.”

-Yogi Berra

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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 29th, 2023

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  • Such a weird framing. Can it really be targeting when the broader “manufacturing West” basically self sabatoged from 2010 onward when it comes to batteries and electrification?

    It’s not so much China “targeting dominance”, it’s that theyre walking in an open lane which western countries ceded decades ago. And it’s a lane paying crazy dividends. Dividends which were obvious 60 years ago.

    This is mostly just western countries refusing to do anything material to shift from petroleum economies.




  • Unlikely. Maybe teaming with precursor chemistry for life.

    I’ve been saying this since the moment the first new horizons images became available. Precursor chemistry for life happens on icy bodies orbiting at a distance where the freeze thaw cycle is sufficient for carbon oxygen and carbon nitrogen bonds to occur.

    And there are a fucking shit ton of these bodies orbiting most stars. And there is no rush. The longer they orbit the more time precursor can build up. Then some shit goes down and one bad day, it smacks into an earth like body. The hydrothermal vents are a great addition but the main thing this solves is the concentration issue.

    At least on earth there is no obvious way to concentrate enough interesting chemistry into one place for the more complex lipid, protein, DNA, RNA systems to get going. There are potential mechanisms for their production but no obvious way to concentrate them to a sufficient degree where life like or systems could form.

    Precursor impact theory solves all of this and comes with its own thermodynamic equilibrium solution to boot.