Seems to me that it’s most likely Russia is going to ramp things up in the near future. And the focus will be on deep strikes on command centres and industry. Lavrov made it pretty clear that gloves are coming off. One big factor was that China didn’t really want escalation previously, but it looks like Americans managed to piss the Chinese off royally during their visit. Seems like after Russians went to China they agreed that Ukraine needs to get wrapped up, and that dialogue with Americans is impossible.

A good discussion with a former CIA analyst on the whole thing https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=xVVyS7NtB5k

I think we’ll have to wait and see here. American technology has proven itself to be hype many times in the past, and I wouldn’t jump to conclusions here.

It does illustrate how the whole moral high ground the west claimed over the Soviet bloc was always just a veneer.

Sounds like somebody skipped their history class, back in the 30s you would’ve had Gestapo or Abwehr. Because Germany was fascist at the time.

The Ministry for State Security (German: Ministerium für Staatssicherheit, pronounced [minɪsˈteːʁiʊm fyːɐ̯ ˈʃtaːtsˌzɪçɐhaɪt]; abbreviated MfS), commonly known as the Stasi (pronounced [ˈʃtaːziː] ⓘ, an abbreviation of Staatssicherheit), was the intelligence service and secret police of East Germany (the German Democratic Republic or GDR) from 1950 to 1990.

A 1930s what now?

You know it’s bad when fucking google says it’s too much spying.

ATLAS has some benchmarks in the repo, and it’s comparable to opus 4.6, you don’t actually even need 128gb model for that. An 8 bit quantized model will run with around 32gb and still perform quite well.

Yeah that’s true, depending on the electricity costs, you could be better on a subscription. Especially with DeepSeek, which is incredibly cheap now.

You should be able to get very decent performance with 128gb vram running Qwen 3.6 with something like https://github.com/itigges22/ATLAS especially if you run MTP https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3.6-27B-MTP-GGUF

A friend of mine gets something like 50 tokens a second with it, and output quality is quite decent.

Agreed, all the mass layoffs are really helping build class consciousness among the labor aristocrats.

Nice, another vapid reply from our resident fascist troll. The reply wasn’t meant to convince you of anything since we all know exactly what you stand for. It’s to educate people on the misinformation you spread here and how to address it.

Oh, but you do support a government in tangible terms because you support the war the regime is fighting and the atrocities it commits against its people. The regime literally kidnaps people off the street and forces them into fighting. You’ve openly stated many times that you support continuation of the war and that you stand on the side of a openly fascist regime. That makes you a fascist.

Also, imagine being over the age of 13 and using terms like authoritarian. 🤡

The term authoritarianism is utterly meaningless because all governments rely on coercion to maintain their authority. The state is fundamentally an instrument that’s used by the ruling class to maintain its dominance. The whole notion that political systems can be neatly categorized into authoritarian or democratic binaries is deeply infantile.

The reality is that every government derives its authority from its monopoly on legal violence. The ability to enforce laws, suppress dissent, and maintain order is derived from control over police, military, and judicial systems. Whether a government is labelled authoritarian or democratic, the fundamental basis of its power lies here. Therefore, the only meaningful questions to ask are which class interests it represents, and to what extent can it be held accountable to them.

What ultimately matters is which class controls the institutions of state violence. In capitalist democracies, the government represent the interests of the economic elites who fund political campaigns, own media outlets, and control key industries. Western public lacks the mechanisms necessary to hold the government to account, and the ruling class is disconnected from the broader population. That’s precisely what’s driving political discontent all across western sphere today. Meanwhile, in so-called authoritarian regimes, the ruling party serves the working class as seen in countries like China, Cuba, or Vietnam. Hence why there is widespread public trust in these government and they enjoy broad support from the masses.

To add to that, the whole idea of state capitalism is a misnomer. It basically says that while you have state owned enterprise, the internal capitalist relations within it remain largely the same. While that’s true, there is a fundamental difference here. Capitalism is a system where people who own capital hire workers to exploit there labor with the purpose of increasing their capital. The goal of capitalist enterprise is to create wealth for the owners with any social benefits being strictly incidental. On the other hand, the purpose of state enterprise is to provide social value. Workers in state owned companies are producing things that the society needs. They are working for their own benefit and those of others around them. Therefore, the nature of work itself is fundamentally different from actual capitalism.

I guess I shouldn’t be expecting much from somebody who equates a socialist state where means of production are publicly owned with fascism.

you do support the fascist regime in Ukraine tho, or gonna pretend that’s also a funny story fash?

O7

go home fash

Yeah, shortages will likely start in a couple months, and then there’s going to be a spike in demand for fuel in fall when it’s planting season. And if farmers can’t afford the fuel to plant, there there could be a food crisis across Europe. It’s entirely possible Russia is waiting to see how bad the situation in Europe gets in the next couple of months before escalating.

I can’t see how going back to the status quo after 4 years of war would be possible politically in Russia. I expect that any scenario where the war ends will result in Ukraine having a compliant regime and forced neutrality. It will not be allowed to join NATO or EU at this point, and there will be a big cap on the size of the army. So, I think the Georgian scenario is the most likely one as well.

A few games I really enjoyed Planet of Lana which just had a new instalment, Tunic, Selaco, Arco, Spritfall, Bionic Ban, Prodeus, Neva, Children of the Sun, and Children of Morta.

Oh that sucks about the power, and I saw their report. We’ll have to chat more about it, but reads like copium to me. I do think it’s an indication that they see the gig is up now. Another sign is that Europe is now scrambling to find a negotiator, definitely not a thing they’d be doing if they genuinely thought they were winning.

Agree with all that, the harvest season is going to be when the fuel demand spikes, and that’s also when the reserves are projected to be depleted. So, that could be the crisis moment. And from what I saw there was another Oreshnik strike last night, but I don’t think it really has the same effect at this point. Yes, a bunch of stuff in Kiev is burning now, but it’s not really going to change anything. I’m now convinced that economy will be the deciding factor in the end. Speaking of that, did you see how European Commission put out a report saying that Russian GDP growth for 2026 is expected at 1.3%, and EU was lowered to 1.1%.

• https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/economic-forecast-and-surveys/economic-forecasts/spring-2026-economic-forecast-slowdown-growth-energy-shock-drives-inflation_en#gdp-growth-map
• https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/download/3360898c-cd40-46c0-b170-7adfcb993add_en?filename=ip341_en.pdf#page=197

If they’re saying this openly, I’m guessing the real situation is a lot worse then they’re letting on. We’ll see if they manage to pull a rabbit out of a hat to solve the fuel crisis, but I just don’t see where the fuel is going to come from. And Europe now competes with Asia for whatever fuel is on the market too. So, next few months will be very interesting.