• sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    7 hours ago

    … The entire fucking planet basically is.

    https://economictimes.com/industry/indl-goods/svs/chem-/-fertilisers/indian-urea-producers-shut-plants-as-iran-war-cuts-lng-flows/articleshow/129439647.cms

    This is the entire fucking doomsday scenario that has been predicted by the ‘Limits to Growth’ type models, its just that they predicted it being caused basically by the dynamics of ‘more mouths to feed’ + ‘all the easy to get oil and lng has already been got’ = food prices raise dramatically -> mass famine.

    So… this just accelerated that, by taking something like 20% of the world’s inputs required for growing food, and taking them offline… likely for at least half a decade, even if the war ended right now, simply from the damage done to extraction/refinement facilities.

    You can’t sustain the human population of this planet, in its current economic configuration, without mass use of chemical fertilizers in industrialized agriculture.

    This is basically why Mike Rupert killed himself, he figured this out in his own way around 2 decades ago, and then basically became immensely depressed.

    You knock a bunch of fetilizer plants offline?

    Well, now, you’re looking at famine for tens to hundreds of millions of people, unless extremely competent emergency response plans are enacted.

    • greyscale@lemmy.grey.ooo
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      35 minutes ago

      I’ve just been sat looking at monoculture farms growing gasoline for two decades like “… cusp?”