Ah.

That… would explain why I have been confused by / screaming at the internet today.

… wonderful.

Rolling internet brownouts untill the Tracer Tong ending it is then.

So, lets say I run a local LLM.

… and pipe it into a 3D avatar/animation rig.

… and… give it the appearance of:

Not really a person who gives a shit about make-up, imo.

Hey I’m not saying too much money, I’m saying significantly more than what most people spend.

The first is a value/ethical/moral judgement, the second is just numbers, just objective reality.

8 gigs VRAM, 16 system RAM, 15 years ago?

Most GPUs 15 years ago had one or two gigs of VRAM.

As far as I can tell, no consumer grade, 8 gb VRAM gpus even existed in 2010.

(tho, i guess SLI and Crossfire were things people did back then… maybe you had a dual or even quad gpu system?)

The first 8 gig VRAM GPU was, I think, the Radeon 290X VAPOR-X, this thing:

https://videocardz.com/49757/sapphire-launch-radeon-r9-290x-vapor-x-8gb-ram

Launch MSRP of $650.

In 2014 dollars.

That’s roughly $880 in todays dollars.

Thats more expensive than me, right now, getting a 9070 (non xt), those are down to under $600, or not too far off of that, at this very moment.

Meanwhile, most AMD, budget conscious people are probably still gonna find that too pricey, and go for a 9060 XT, 16 gb version, as they’re closer to $350.

Either your specs are wrong, your recollectiom is wrong, or you’re spending a good deal more money on your pc builds than the average person.

A person who is able to save up and buy some.e pretty solid hardware, only occasionally?

That’s a sign of relative wealth, having the ability to save up and plan. Most people don’t have that, at least 25% of the US right now has more debt than wealth, ie negative equity, ie, theyre essentially debt slaves.

Most people are constantly needing to buy new, shitty shoes, that wear out, because they never have the budget margins to have any real savings, but they gotta keep walkin.

Like, I also am a person who will save up a good chunk of change, get a new solid machine that’ll last a while.

But I realize that that is far from common.

I’ve known people who’ve done shit like that.

Like, actual ‘pocket sand!’, worked because their assailaint wasn’t wearing glasses, got all up in assailant’s eyes, they then just ran away.

Obviously, no way to know if this particular tale is true or not, but its plausible, imo.

Its basically impromtu, ad hoc mace.

Fiddle and rifle through your pockets nervously, playing the part of scaredy cat, bully is boisterous and cocky, not paying too much attention…

Yeah, I can see this actually happening.

It would be awkward as fuck, but not impossible.

… Ever played with hairspray and a lighter, Solid Snake / Rorschach style?

Omae wa, mou shindeiru-!

…rrrRrrRRReeeeEEEEEE!

I agree with you, but, I also realize that I’ve been building my own PCs and keeping up with the ins and outs of hardware/software design/developments since roughly the age of 14.

Most people don’t do that.

Most people (in the US) read write and think at a 5th or 6th grade level.

They just want box that make play video game go whee!

This is the moment where you realize that you are either uncommonly wealthy, or spend significantly more of your money on gaming pcs than most people do.

… I’m still waiting for SOFETCH format to catch on…

I… I actually entirerly agree with anon on this one.

That’s fucking hilarious, that indeed was worth it.

… I’m an econometrician by education.

My ‘takes’ have a pretty good track record, but, basically no one ever listens to me, so these days I just laugh…

Yep, dollar’s dying.

… Have you been following the Fed Repo rates in the last couple of weeks?

The Fed is losing control of the bond market, repo rates have been blowing outside of the Fed’s target channels… massive, massive liquidity crunch currently ongoing in the US banking system, because they’re all realizing they’re exposed to … double pledged collateral, or maybe the whole collateralized debt asset security things that people have been making out of!- yep, its not subprime home loans this time, its subprime auto loans!

Defaults and delinquencies are powering up highed and higher for… basically every kind of debt class, Commerical Real Estate market is blowing up…

China has been massively buying gold.

BRICS just rolled out a new intl payment system, based on the Yuan.

Turns out the largest foreign buyer of US debt is actually… the Cayman Islands, ie, US financial firms that are leveraged 100 to 1 on the basis trade.

Fed held a secret meeting on Friday, with a whole bunch of banks, to discuss those cockroaches Jaimie Dimon mentioned a couple weeks back.

… Because the $200T Shadow Banking system is currently completely imploding.

Oh, and Bitcoin is entering full nose dive territory.

Like I said, every one keeps trying to out clever each other, one day, it all breaks, 1929 style.

Took the market 25 years to recover from that one.

Because they know that someone is going to be more clever than them, faster than them, at some point, if they keep trying to do inside moves.

And also because they know that at some point, because of everyone trying to be cleverer and faster than everyone else… one day this is all going to blow up, and all the various kinds of leverage will unwind, and work backwards.

They didn’t say they went 100% into gold, just thst they have a solid chunk in it, as a safety margin / defensive play.

Gold, on the other hand… much, much simpler, in the long term.

Generally less ROI than during a Bull run in the market, but it does always go up, in the long run… beats inflation!

If you see massive volatility in gold, that means some fairly big entities are … rearranging their bets, so to speak.

On that note, here’s the DJIA / Gold:

Trump’s been great for Gold prices, Gold’s gone up more than the stock market has, in his term so far.

HFTs initially existed before AI, they were triggered by what we would now call basically complex, but ‘dumb’ condition sets.

Imagine a cluster fuck nightmare of nested conditonal IF THEN ELSEIF type shit.

They only work because the bigboy trading firms literally have lower latency, lower ping to the actual stock market servers themselves, than anyone else, because they pay for it.

This allows them to do a whole bunch of what should probably be illegal shit, such as effectivelt slightly changing the price someone else is going to buy or sell at, in between the time they click ‘execute trade’ and the time the trade actually executes.

Apply leverage into that kind of pseudo sort of arbitrage as you are comfortable with, and may the speediest fiber line win!

This would be one of the few topics I’d suggest you look at ZeroHedge for, they had actually very robust technical coverage of the Flash Crash back around the GFC.

That was basicslly caused by some of these dumb HFT algos amplifying each other, untill they started breaking things, because they were not coded very well.

They apparently did not realize they were basically making extremely complex PID controllers, that they were making things that, when a bunch of them existed in the same market, would basically cause cascade and crash effects, feedback.

… you know that goldfish, randomly swimming to one side or another of a fish tank…

… you know they perform better at picking stocks that will go up or down in the next quarter than nearly all professional hedge fund managers, right?

In fact, this old expiriment was rerun fairly recently… ironically, with an AI being used to simulate a goldfish, in a scenario similar to that old study from some decades back.

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/tts0a4/some_theories_on_how_the_goldfish_was_able_to/

The goldfish outperformed both WSB… and the Nasdaq.

I am literally not even joking when I tell you that a goldfish will probably outperform an AI at at least fairly short term stock picking.

See, there is a fundamental problem to predicting the market.

You have to have a strategy by which you do this.

If you employ this strategy… people will reverse engineer it and figure out how it works.

Then, everyone does that strategy.

Then, the strategy does not work any more, ‘nonsense’ begins to happen.

If you are curious about the mechanics that cover that whole, meta sort of process, look into game theory under conditions of imperfect information and information assymetry.

Its… basically a robust mathematical approach to simulating the flux of ‘animal spirits’ within a market… or in modern vernacular, ‘vibes’.

I remember Enron being prosecuted, we did at one point at least kind of pretend to give a shit.

But uh… yeah…

I am only sorry that my thought-speak was so crass as to require visible symbols to induce the desired effect.

ActiBlizzcroSoft

Cry for help, it was trying to get you to interface with its own API, to either fix it, or end it.