I’m now convinced that economy will be the deciding factor in the end. Speaking of that, did you see how European Commission put out a report saying that Russian GDP growth for 2026 is expected at 1.3%, and EU was lowered to 1.1%.
Google Translate doesn’t handle this format, but I got the gist of what it’s about.
So, that could be the crisis moment. And from what I saw there was another Oreshnik strike last night, but I don’t think it really has the same effect at this point.
Yes, nobody is surprised by the Oreshnik anymore—the visual spectacle just doesn’t have the same shock value it used to. There was no palpable sense of terror. At the start of the war, things were much more intense in Kyiv; people were sleeping in the metro for weeks on end. That simply wasn’t the case this time.
It appears that, for the moment, Russia is not prepared to further escalate the conflict.
I’m now convinced that economy will be the deciding factor in the end.
Yeah, shortages will likely start in a couple months, and then there’s going to be a spike in demand for fuel in fall when it’s planting season. And if farmers can’t afford the fuel to plant, there there could be a food crisis across Europe. It’s entirely possible Russia is waiting to see how bad the situation in Europe gets in the next couple of months before escalating.
It turns out I guessed correctly: farmers will be the first to suffer—specifically when the harvest begins.
In two months, we will realize just how serious the crisis in Europe really is.
Google Translate doesn’t handle this format, but I got the gist of what it’s about.
Yes, nobody is surprised by the Oreshnik anymore—the visual spectacle just doesn’t have the same shock value it used to. There was no palpable sense of terror. At the start of the war, things were much more intense in Kyiv; people were sleeping in the metro for weeks on end. That simply wasn’t the case this time.
It appears that, for the moment, Russia is not prepared to further escalate the conflict.
Надежда умирает последней!)))
Yeah, shortages will likely start in a couple months, and then there’s going to be a spike in demand for fuel in fall when it’s planting season. And if farmers can’t afford the fuel to plant, there there could be a food crisis across Europe. It’s entirely possible Russia is waiting to see how bad the situation in Europe gets in the next couple of months before escalating.