I don’t think Russia can stay stable if the conflict is frozen though. That’s just not gonna fly politically, and political instability creates a risk for China in the long term. You gotta keep in mind that Chinese tend to have a very long perspective on things, and they’re not looking for quick wins. They know the west is coming after them next, and they understand perfectly well that the war is bigger than Russia and Ukraine. If they don’t defeat the west here, then the west gets a chance to regroup and try again. This is the same danger Russia and China face here together. And when Russia wins, it’s till going to be highly dependent on China economically which means China will continue to exercise a ton of influence over Russia. On top of that, Chinese will probably get a ton of reconstruction and resource development contracts in Ukraine. All of that cannot happen if there’s a frozen conflict. So, there’s simply way more to gain by winning than letting this fester.
China cut the west off from critical inputs they need to produce weapons. So, now the west isn’t able to restock what they’ve spent over 4 years in Ukraine and now in Iran. The inventories here keep going down, and there’s nothing the west can do about it lacking its own industries.
Listen to this guy
And this is what I was saying about Bunaov being shuffled to the head of the army. The strategy is shifting towards naked terrorism now.
I don’t think Russia can stay stable if the conflict is frozen though. That’s just not gonna fly politically, and political instability creates a risk for China in the long term. You gotta keep in mind that Chinese tend to have a very long perspective on things, and they’re not looking for quick wins. They know the west is coming after them next, and they understand perfectly well that the war is bigger than Russia and Ukraine. If they don’t defeat the west here, then the west gets a chance to regroup and try again. This is the same danger Russia and China face here together. And when Russia wins, it’s till going to be highly dependent on China economically which means China will continue to exercise a ton of influence over Russia. On top of that, Chinese will probably get a ton of reconstruction and resource development contracts in Ukraine. All of that cannot happen if there’s a frozen conflict. So, there’s simply way more to gain by winning than letting this fester.
Letting the war drag out to drain the west certainly does seem to be what China is doing. I think they’re aiming for a comprehensive victory here where the west becomes so depleted that they have to accept a new world order. You say they’re supplying both sides, but here’s what’s actually happening https://www.mining.com/web/us-business-group-says-some-critical-minerals-are-nearly-unobtainable-from-china/
China cut the west off from critical inputs they need to produce weapons. So, now the west isn’t able to restock what they’ve spent over 4 years in Ukraine and now in Iran. The inventories here keep going down, and there’s nothing the west can do about it lacking its own industries.
And this is what I was saying about Bunaov being shuffled to the head of the army. The strategy is shifting towards naked terrorism now.