Hey, sorry, I tried looking up a case study of this for myself, but couldn’t find anything substantial. Do you guys have anything like this?
I’m wondering about the new pipeline purely from an economic sense.
Essentially stuff like:
- Projected taxpayer funded dollars to build the entire thing (a projected bell curve of expenditure).
- Projected oil demand, and price for the time that the pipeline remains operational.
- Finally, a bell curve of ROI for us.
I know I know, the environmental damage this would do is horrible, blah blah blah. I agree. I just want to know if this is at the very least a good financial decision or not.
Again, I’m looking for actual quantitative projections. Not stuff like, “but Asia is moving toward renewables”.
Okay, so according to the trans mountain pipeline corporation, it returned 1.7B to the owner in 2025 and 0.45B in Q1 2026.
It says that the forecasted dividends for the coming years are higher. I’m not sure how they forecasted this, but whatever.
They also talk about some “optimization program” to increase throughput volumes by 30%.
Regardless, let’s say the average revenue goes to around 2B per year. In that case, it would require around 20 years to break even (considering the 4.5B + 34B put in by the feds). Everything after that is profit.
Buuuut yeah, I don’t have data on projected oil demand till 2046. And constructing ANOTHER megaproject in addition to this one… Yeeeeah I dunno…
They like putting up business studies and projected revenues and all that for everything. Why not for the new pipeline? That’s just so unprofessional and irresponsible.