34k people in 28 countries? About 1.2k per country? Even if it actually means 34k per country, the sample is so ridiculously small that this statistic accounts for nothing. I can assure you if I interview 1.2k people on the main street of my city in Brazil I will get a very very different number, with the vast majority not even understanding the question.
It all boils down on how representative for the entire population the participants of the statistics are chosen: location, age, gender, education, job, …
Nope, theoretically true but not the least bit feasible in reality. My sample could at best represent my 160k people city, where 80% voted for our local Mussolini, not my 200m people country, which has wide regional differences (and didn’t elect the local Mussolini, even though my city and some entire states would have)… imagine India, with almost 1.5b people, and those interviews can’t possibly have the necessary geographical and social scope in countries that size with such an insignificantly small sample… what’s their methodology? Random pop-ups on social media? You already excluded a huge chunk of the population that doesn’t use social media at all, and depending on the social media, you just made an age cut as well, your sample is no longer random but only representing a certain demographic. Was it people standing in a big city interviewing passersby? Time and location will taint the results and, again, the geographical scope is insignificant. Random phone calls? Well-informed people have their numbers on “do-not-disturb” lists (a public service), don’t answer random questions from strangers on the phone, etc, etc, so your sample is not random enough anymore because a demographic group won’t be represented in it, etc, etc.
Yeah, if if you expect 1000 people you interviewed at a corner next to a social sciences college or corner next to an evangelical church to represent a country with 200m population and huge cultural regional differences, sure.
34k people in 28 countries? About 1.2k per country? Even if it actually means 34k per country, the sample is so ridiculously small that this statistic accounts for nothing. I can assure you if I interview 1.2k people on the main street of my city in Brazil I will get a very very different number, with the vast majority not even understanding the question.
It all boils down on how representative for the entire population the participants of the statistics are chosen: location, age, gender, education, job, …
If your sample is a sufficiently random representative of the population, there won’t be a difference between 1,200 people and 12,000,000 people.
Nope, theoretically true but not the least bit feasible in reality. My sample could at best represent my 160k people city, where 80% voted for our local Mussolini, not my 200m people country, which has wide regional differences (and didn’t elect the local Mussolini, even though my city and some entire states would have)… imagine India, with almost 1.5b people, and those interviews can’t possibly have the necessary geographical and social scope in countries that size with such an insignificantly small sample… what’s their methodology? Random pop-ups on social media? You already excluded a huge chunk of the population that doesn’t use social media at all, and depending on the social media, you just made an age cut as well, your sample is no longer random but only representing a certain demographic. Was it people standing in a big city interviewing passersby? Time and location will taint the results and, again, the geographical scope is insignificant. Random phone calls? Well-informed people have their numbers on “do-not-disturb” lists (a public service), don’t answer random questions from strangers on the phone, etc, etc, so your sample is not random enough anymore because a demographic group won’t be represented in it, etc, etc.
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Yeah, if if you expect 1000 people you interviewed at a corner next to a social sciences college or corner next to an evangelical church to represent a country with 200m population and huge cultural regional differences, sure.