Sunshine@piefed.ca to USA | United states of America@lemmy.caEnglish · 21 days agoNo Kings rallies across US urge voters to cast ballots early ahead of midtermsapnews.comexternal-linkmessage-square11fedilinkarrow-up184
arrow-up184external-linkNo Kings rallies across US urge voters to cast ballots early ahead of midtermsapnews.comSunshine@piefed.ca to USA | United states of America@lemmy.caEnglish · 21 days agomessage-square11fedilink
minus-squareDuckwingthegoose@sh.itjust.workslinkfedilinkarrow-up2·20 days agoRight, but if a largely dem area is surging in early voting compared to last trump midterm election, its easy enough to extrapolate I’m not saying youre wrong, but the logic above is used all the time in early voting by the media to start to guess.
minus-squareArtisian@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up2·19 days agoYou’re right that everything gives some data, and that data can be used to forecast. But also, this extrapolation has been pretty lousy in the last couple years. As a public, the USA has been pretty good at being unpredictable recently…
minus-squareDuckwingthegoose@sh.itjust.workslinkfedilinkarrow-up1·19 days agoVery true. A pissed off populace is hard to predict. Hard to tell which thing they’re pissed off at most. On all sides
Right, but if a largely dem area is surging in early voting compared to last trump midterm election, its easy enough to extrapolate
I’m not saying youre wrong, but the logic above is used all the time in early voting by the media to start to guess.
You’re right that everything gives some data, and that data can be used to forecast. But also, this extrapolation has been pretty lousy in the last couple years. As a public, the USA has been pretty good at being unpredictable recently…
Very true. A pissed off populace is hard to predict. Hard to tell which thing they’re pissed off at most. On all sides