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Transcript
Title text: This is how you all fucking sound
[A smug tech bro wearing a sideways cap, watch, chain around his neck stands in front of a data center by a lake with dead fish. A smoke stack blows pollution into the air]
Tech bro: AI is already here, there’s no going back.
[A smug man in a suit with cigarette in hand stands in a restaurant while two disgruntled diners cough from the smoke]
Suit: Smoking indoors is already here, there’s no going back.
[A smug man in a top hat and suit stands in a factory with two sad and dirty children]
Hat: Child labor is already here, there’s no going back.
[A smug plantation owner stands in front of a field with with two angry slaves]
Plantation owner: The Atlantic Slave trade is already here, there’s no going back.
Worst analogy ever. Compare AI to the cotton gin or semiconductors or railroad. There usd no going back on things that increase productivity. Only forward.
Explain why globally we cut back on nuclear power please? How does this fit into your argument?
Coal and gas lobbyists pressuring the construction of their plants over nuclear. Fission is the most safe and efficient form of power production we have reasonable access to. We never globally cut back because the plants hardly existed in the first place.
Because petro companies pay off politicians and use a couple unfortunate and totally preventable incidents to make nuclear power a boogeyman even though annual deaths related to petroleum power far outweigh all deaths related to nuclear power?
Sure. If the cotton gin lied about 20%+ of the cotton it separated and that portion was full of seeds.
Not sure anything I tell you will convince you. For software development the latest models like opus are literally better at most coding then top tier humans. They still lack strategic context and aren’t perfect but they can increase productivity 10x on many tasks.
Do they lie? You can literally write the unit tests and verify behavior and performance.
There is no going back. My job has changed forever.
I use Opus 4.7 in high reasoning mode. If you are comparing to crappy Google models then you are comparing a Ferrari to a tricycle.
Bullshit.
It may feel good to use these, but the data doesn’t support that claim.
These things are putting out code that doesn’t pass experienced programmer’s definitions for quality or maintainability.
Where agentic AI runs in production, it is breaching data left and right and deleting production databases and sometimes also deleting the backups.
That you can get high quality code out of them, I won’t argue against. I can, as well.
But these things aren’t ready to replace programmers, and they actively make most programmers produce worse results in slightly longer timelines.
I’ll tell you what is ready to replace programmers is fucking WordPress, lol. If you tell me WordPress is coming for my job, I won’t argue.
Anything the AI can write perfectly could (and should) have just been built more maintainably on WordPress from existing plugins.
We’re remixing excellent existing open source code, but we would be better off reading the documentation and using what already exists.
You’ll get down voted to eternity for speaking truth like that friend. Be cautious, a lot of these kids just don’t want to hear it.
And yeah, Google is trying so hard but failing miserably. I’m excited to try Opus 4.8 with my work account 🙈
The thing is ‘AI’ is a broad net…
So while you do have for example, utility in code generation, that ranges in usefulness to nearly the whole thing to mild completion, depending on the nature of the task. There’s not going to be a full “going back”, but maybe we can hope that people who are flooding with shit software they don’t understand will get over it.
Which highlights one of the major real problems. AI enables people that have shit ideas to make shit content with unprecedented volume. This applies to code, video, text, music. The people that use it to make quality content might be seeing less than 20% more productivity as they keep it on the rails, the people making shit are now able to spew out 1000% more stuff because they just don’t care.
Which in turn drives unreasonable infrastructure demands. So if the former “goes back”, so too does the infrastructure build out.
The misinformation angle though…
Slavery increased productivity quite a lot. That was still eradicated (mostly…)